Economics

The Global Impact of the U.S. Shale Energy Boom

Take 15 Series

Robert Johnston, director of the global energy and natural resources practice at Eurasia Group, addresses the prospects for the U.S. becoming a natural gas “superpower,” and the global geopolitical and investment implications of the U.S. shale energy boom.

The Promise of Abenomics

Project Syndicate

Nobel Prize laureate Joseph Stiglitz assesses this question: To what extent can “Abenomics” (the economic initiatives geared for bringing Japan out of the decades long deflation and slow growth) claim credit for the recent surge in domestic confidence in Japan?

Does Systemic Risk in the Financial Sector Predict Future Economic Downturns?

CFA Digest

Distress in the financial sector can be transferred to the real economy. The authors develop an early warning indicator that can predict future macroeconomic slowdowns six months before they occur.

The Importance of Financial Crises: Past and Present

Take 15

Robert F. Bruner, Dean of the Darden School of Business at the University of Virginia, discusses the 2008 crisis through the historical lens of a financial economist.

A Perspective on the Symptoms and Causes of the Financial Crisis

CFA Digest

By exploring causes of the 2007–08 global financial crisis from a banking perspective, the author finds that banks expanded through riskier liquidity and term asset/liability mismatches.

Grant Williams, Portfolio and Strategy Advisor, Vulpes Investment Management

Checking the Math on Global Equity Prices, China Growth, the French Economy, and Gold

Julie Hammond, CFA 24 May 2013

Portfolio manager Grant Williams used mathematical proofs to explain four key disconnects between financial markets and the global economy. Read more

Poll: What is the Primary Cause of Speculative Investment Bubbles?

David Larrabee, CFA 24 May 2013

Nearly 38% of global respondents to this week’s poll think the behavioral biases of investors are the primary cause of investment bubbles, while 33% of those polled believe responsibility lies with central banks and their easy money policies. Excessive leverage (19%) and government policies (7%) were less favored responses. Read more

Kyle Bass: Central Bankers Are Building Potemkin Villages to Deceive Us

Ron Rimkus, CFA 23 May 2013

The prominent hedge fund manager, who believes that policymakers are simply shifting the day of reckoning into the future, updated his thesis on Japan. Read more

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Economics

The Global Impact of the U.S. Shale Energy Boom

The Promise of Abenomics

Does Systemic Risk in the Financial Sector Predict Future Economic Downturns?

The Importance of Financial Crises: Past and Present

A Perspective on the Symptoms and Causes of the Financial Crisis

From the Blog

Checking the Math on Global Equity Prices, China Growth, the French Economy, and Gold

Poll: What is the Primary Cause of Speculative Investment Bubbles?

Kyle Bass: Central Bankers Are Building Potemkin Villages to Deceive Us

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